Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Indiana (40-19) | 4 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 4 | -1.0 | 56% | ✔ | |
Iowa (29-20) | 2 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 3 | +1.0 | 44% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Indiana (40-19) | 1 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 4 | -1.0 | 56% | ✘ | |
Iowa (29-20) | 5 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 3 | +1.0 | 44% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Stetson (48-13) | 12 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | ✔ | 8 | -6.0 | 81% | ✔ | |
Maryland (24-30) | 3 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 2 | +6.0 | 19% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Michigan State (20-32) | 3 | 3 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 2 | +4.0 | 28% | ✔ | |
Michigan (33-20) | 12 | 6 | -3.0 | 61% | 6 | -4.0 | 72% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Minnesota (43-15) | 5 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | ✔ | 9 | -6.0 | 80% | ✔ | |
Nebraska (24-28) | 1 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 3 | +6.0 | 20% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Illinois (32-20) | 5 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | ✔ | 8 | -5.0 | 78% | ✔ | |
Northwestern (15-32) | 4 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 3 | +5.0 | 22% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Georgetown (25-30) | 5 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 4 | +3.5 | 30% | ✔ | |
Ohio State (36-24) | 13 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | 7 | -3.5 | 70% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Lipscomb (24-30) | 3 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✘ | 2 | +5.5 | 21% | ✘ | |
Purdue (38-21) | 1 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -5.5 | 79% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Lipscomb (24-30) | 2 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 2 | +5.5 | 21% | ✔ | |
Purdue (38-21) | 6 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -5.5 | 79% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Penn State (15-34) | 1 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 3 | +3.0 | 32% | ✔ | |
Rutgers (25-25) | 4 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 6 | -3.0 | 68% |
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 80%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 80%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.